CPD  

Why your clients need to be patient with Japan

  • To learn about the basics of Abenomics
  • To understand the effect of Japanese policy on the yen
  • To grasp an understanding of how equity markets react to fiscal policy in Japan
CPD
Approx.30min

Bulls could argue that they are also more likely to capture new growth opportunities in an economy undergoing structural change, and are better equipped to adapt culturally to appease foreign investors – a point that already appears to have been picked up by activist investors.

With that in mind, Mr Gibbs’ claim that they’re being overlooked is an interesting one.

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“Given the relatively inefficient nature of small-cap research in Japan, it is almost always worth delving into small-cap stocks,” he says.

“Many stocks fall off investors’ radar screens and become undervalued, resulting in significant valuation dispersion within the small-cap universe. Independent, disciplined research in this area of the market, resulting in high-conviction non-consensus views on individual stocks, can often add more value than in [the] large-cap arena.”

Of course, whether clients choose to follow this advice will depend on their faith in Japan’s economy and Mr Abe’s ability to deliver on his promises.

Domestically-focused small-caps tend to mirror the health of the country they hail from, so it is important that an investor buys into the government’s drive to get its ageing, shrinking population to spend more.

Advocates are adamant that the structural reforms introduced by Mr Abe will come good over time, and have been unfairly hindered by economic uncertainty across key trading nations. In opposition, critics argue that Abenomics’ time is up. 

Those investors who prefer to take the patient view should be prepared to encounter plenty more turbulence in the coming years.

As is regularly the case with value investing, sentiment can be very volatile before the underlying benefits fully register with sceptical markets.

Mr Abe will be hoping that his experimental, often maligned strategy to bring Japan back from the brink of collapse follows a similar path.

Daniel Liberto is a freelance financial journalist

CPD
Approx.30min

Please answer the six multiple choice questions below in order to bank your CPD. Multiple attempts are available until all questions are correctly answered.

  1. When did the Nikkei 225's biggest peak last happen?

  2. What does Mr George say Japan's monetary policy his highly reliant on?

  3. What did the Bank of Japan cut its deposit rate down to?

  4. What have forecasters predicted in terms of a profit drop in 2016, according to Mr Koll?

  5. What is corporate Japan continuing to generate, according to Mr Gibbs?

  6. What does Mr Gibbs say is worth delving into?

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You have successfully answered all the questions correctly, well done!

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  • To learn about the basics of Abenomics
  • To understand the effect of Japanese policy on the yen
  • To grasp an understanding of how equity markets react to fiscal policy in Japan

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